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Psychological Terms: S Satisficing Schema Search Asymmetry Selective Attention Self-Reference Effect Semantics Sense Serial Position Curve Serial Processing Set Shadowing Shallow Processing Simple Cell Simulation Heuristic Single Cell Recording Source Confusion Source Memory Speech Acts Speech Isolation Syndrome Speech Segmentation Spreading Activation Stroop Effect Subthreshold Activation Subvocalization Sufficient Conditions Summation Sunk Cost Effect Support Theory Surface Structure Synapse Synesthesia Syntax

Psychology >> Psychology Glossary >> Decision-Making Heuristics >> Simulation Heuristic >> Hindsight Effect

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Simulation Heuristic

Simulation heuristic applies in situations where one is asked to make some prediction about future events, or is asked to conceive of some alternate outcome to an event or action.

More specifically, the simulation heuristic involves a mental construction or imagining of outcomes, a forecasting of how some event will turn out, or how the event might have turned out under different circumstances.

Thus the ease with which these plausible scenarios can be constructed or immagined is the basis for the simulation heuristic, in much the same way as the ease with which relevant information can be retrieved from memory is the basis for the availability heuristic.

When reflecting on some of the big decisions one has made in her/his life (whether to take a particular job, marry a particular person, or buy a particular car), people often get a very powerful experience of the hindsight effect.